Long-Term Water Demand Forecasting Practices for Water Resources and Infrastructure Planning
The objectives of this project are to describe models, methods, and practices currently used to forecast long-term demand, and to support water resources and infrastructure planning and management by developing recommendations that will help improve the role and effectiveness of demand forecasting practices. The overall research approach will rely heavily on a sequence of review, survey, and communications activities to (a) generate a typology of long-term forecasting methods; (b) gain a thorough understanding of context and circumstances that lead to various choices about forecasts and their underlying methodological considerations; and (c) gauge the relative extent to which forecast accuracy, risk, complexity, and other factors govern the selection and use of alternative approaches. Knowledge that is gleaned will lead to a cogent set of illustrative examples and recommendations for improving the effectiveness of long-term water demand forecasts.
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